As I pulled into the normally mobbed Costco gasoline station the other day, I stared with horror at the price sign–$3.99 (and 99/100 of a cent) per gallon for regular.
I know, for most that would be a welcome sign. Finally, gasoline below $4 a gallon. But as an industry that has been searching for way to get people into bus, train, subway, carpools, vanpools, telework, bicycling and walking*, is our great opportunity just about ready to pass us by? Have the people who have tried MARTA in Atlanta enjoyed it so much that they are going to continue (and did they get a parking space at the station I hope?). Did all those people who tried the bus for the first time get a seat, a comfortable ride and arrive at their destination on time? Are newly formed carpoolers bonding for life or secretly resenting that they have to share the ride?
I worry about this. The increases in ridership didn’t have too much to do with the efforts of highly professional, skilled TDM professionals or brilliant advertising campaigns (but if only I’d had one out on the street at the right time…..). It was $4 gas. What this experience has shown me is that there is a huge discretionary market for alternative transportation–higher than I think anyone in their wildest dreams ever expected. We interact with the captive market and the super long commutes and the people who are fed up with traffic and maybe want to save a little. There’s a little bit of “last resort” in all of that. But with $4 gas, these new riders suddenly saw our alternatives as a viable and maybe even attractive option. Did we do enough to make their experience enjoyable? Of course we want every rider, transit dependent or discretionary rider, to have the same excellent experience when they use BTSCVTW (call me lazy–my son and three friends are out back on the trampoline and probably are in need of some adult supervision because its all fun and games until someone pokes an eye out; my mom used to say that all the time).
I know that transit operators, TMAs and others work very hard to make the travelers’ experience as easy as possible. We should keep that as a top priority and maybe concentrate on incentives to maintain some of these new riders for a while rather than spend marketing dollars on attracting new ones. We will never, ever attract as many as $4 gas did. Let’s hold on to a few of them.
I don’t want people to have to pay $4 a gallon for gasoline. That’s not my point. I know it hurts people. Heck, it hurts me since I made a knee jerk boneheaded decision to buy a Mercury Mariner SUV last year–I’m a single mom with one son, sure he’s got sports stuff but that’s what trunks are for. 20 miles per gallon. And I have to put a flag decal on the back so I can distinguish it from all the other silver SUVs in the Target parking lot. Seriously.
But when the price of gas goes down, as it most likely will, I want to be sure we keep those new riders. It’ll cost a lot more to get a new rider to keep one–if I didn’t hear cries of pain coming from backyard I would do a search and look up that number, but I know it exists. That’s a real big shift in how we think about marketing. Retention has always been mentioned but never really taken seriously. Now’s the time to pay attention to all of our BTSCVTW’s.
*I propose an industry standard acronym for that since I’m tired of writing it out. So here goes: BTSCVTW. Not perfect. Any transit modes that start with vowels?